Why Trump Won’t Likely Run for a Third Term

Donald Trump’s return to the White House in 2025 marked a historic political comeback, but many wonder—could he run for a third term in 2028? While Trump remains a dominant figure in American politics, the answer to this question is largely shaped by constitutional law, political precedent, and potential legal maneuvers.

The Constitutional Limit: The 22nd Amendment

One of the biggest obstacles preventing Trump from running for a third term is the Twenty-Second Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, which was ratified in 1951. This amendment states that:

“No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice.”

This law was put in place after Franklin D. Roosevelt won four consecutive terms, leading Congress to set a strict two-term limit. Since then, no U.S. president has served more than two terms, making it highly unlikely that Trump could legally run again in 2028.

Could the Law Change?

While the 22nd Amendment is clear, some lawmakers have suggested repealing it to allow Trump to serve a third term. Republican Congressman Andy Ogles proposed an amendment in 2023 to change the law, but the chances of this happening are extremely low. For such a change, two-thirds of both the House of Representatives and the Senate would need to approve it, followed by ratification from three-fourths of U.S. states—a nearly impossible task in today’s divided political climate.

Trump’s Influence Beyond the Presidency

Even if Trump is unable to run for a third term, his influence in American politics will likely remain strong. He could:

• Endorse a Trump-backed candidate in 2028, ensuring his political legacy continues.
• Form a powerful political dynasty, possibly supporting one of his children, such as Donald Trump Jr. or Ivanka Trump, in a future election.
• Remain a key figure in the Republican Party, shaping policies and election strategies from behind the scenes.

Would Trump Try to Challenge the System?

Trump has never shied away from challenging legal and political norms. Some have speculated that he could explore ways to circumvent the 22nd Amendment, such as:

• Running as a vice president to another candidate, though this would also face constitutional challenges.
• Backing a loyal successor who would promote his policies and keep him involved in governance.
• Attempting to challenge the amendment in court, though legal experts widely agree that such an effort would fail.

Conclusion

While Donald Trump remains one of the most influential political figures of the 21st century, the chances of him running for a third presidential term are extremely slim. The 22nd Amendment firmly blocks any such attempt, and changing this law would require a nearly impossible political effort. However, even if he cannot return to the White House in 2028, Trump’s influence over American politics is far from over. Whether through endorsements, policy influence, or political activism, his presence will continue to shape the future of the United States.